Annual Threat Assessment from S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS) 2001

Counter Terrorist Trends and Analyses (CTTA) – Volume 13 Issue 01

A PUBLICATION OF THE INTERNATIONAL CENTRE FOR POLITICAL VIOLENCE AND TERRORISM RESEARCH (ICPVTR)

Kumar Ramakrishna, Unaesah Rahmah, Jasminder Singh S/O Bilveer Singh, Mahfuh Bin Haji Halimi, Nur Aziemah Azman, Kyler Ong, Don Pathan, Amin Saikal, Shanthie Mariet D’Souza

04 January 2021

Full Report: https://www.rsis.edu.sg/rsis-publication/icpvtr/counter-terrorist-trends-and-analyses-ctta-volume-13-issue-01/#.YKcp930zY1t 

(Page 40-45 for Southern Thailand conflict/insurgency)

THAILAND

Don Pathan

While a tentative but rare ceasefire announced at the onset of the coronavirus pandemic had briefly raised hopes for an enduring peace in Thailand’s insurgency- stricken deep south, Malay-Muslim militants and Thai security forces continued to engage in limited conflict for much of 2020. The Barisan Revolusi Nasional (BRN’s) signing of a “Deed of Commitment” with Geneva Call in March, in which it committed to protecting children in conflict in line with international human rights norms, was widely viewed as an attempt to raise the movement’s international profile. Yet, it has so far failed to put the country on a path to peace. The appointment of a new Army commander in October, following an annual military shuffle, could give the stalled peace process a new impetus. However, it remains unclear how the anti-regime protests, that have bedevilled the Thai capital Bangkok, could impact the government’s security response and, in turn, peace prospects for the slow-burn Southern Thailand conflict. 

Full Report: https://www.rsis.edu.sg/rsis-publication/icpvtr/counter-terrorist-trends-and-analyses-ctta-volume-13-issue-01/#.YKcp930zY1t